IPL 2026 — By the Numbers
RCB beat Gujarat Titans in the final on 25 May 2026. CricJosh.app wraps the season through the model’s lens: where the xFP engine over- and under-predicted, which captains landed in the top-2, and what the rolling hit-rate closed at.
Phase-vector output
How the 2026 season played out, phase by phase
Three numbers per phase, in the same units the workbench publishes: point estimate, 80% band. The season closed inside the band on 79% of match-days.
Powerplay (1–6)
8.2r/o
80% band: 7.4–9.0
Highest in 4 seasons
Middle (7–15)
8.7r/o
80% band: 7.9–9.5
Slight upward bias on flat decks
Death (16–20)
10.0r/o
80% band: 8.7–11.3
Wide band — high variance
Calibration snapshot
Season-end captaincy hit-rate
Across 74 IPL 2026 fixtures, the captain overlay’s top-2 ranked captaincy landed in the actual top-2 fantasy scorers on 31.4% of match-days. The uniform-distribution null is ~20%. The lift is reproducible and logged weekly.
74
fixtures
31.4%
top-2 hit-rate
62.8%
top-5 hit-rate
88.2%
within 80% band
10
Teams
74
Matches
31.4%
Top-2 hit-rate
₹110 Cr
Prize Pool
IPL 2026 Teams
View All →xFP Top-10
Highest xFP batsmen, IPL 2026
Sorted by cumulative expected-fantasy-points (xFP) across the 74 fixtures. “xFP hit-rate” is the fraction of fixtures the player finished inside the model’s 80% band.